474 
 WTPZ23 KNHC 200233
 TCMEP3
 TROPICAL STORM HILARY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP082005
 0300Z SAT AUG 20 2005
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N  98.9W AT 20/0300Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  13 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
 34 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
 12 FT SEAS.. 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N  98.9W AT 20/0300Z
 AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N  98.2W
  
 FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 14.0N 100.9W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 14.5N 103.7W
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 15.4N 106.3W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
 50 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
 34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 16.4N 108.5W
 MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 18.5N 112.5W
 MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 50 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
 34 KT...120NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 20.0N 115.0W
 MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 21.5N 117.0W
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N  98.9W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z
  
 FORECASTER BEVEN
  
  
 $$