509
FONT13 KNHC 162052
PWSAT3
HURRICANE HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006
2100 UTC SAT SEP 16 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 46.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7)
BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 200N 474W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 200N 474W 50 68 12(80) 1(81) X(81) 1(82) X(82) X(82)
12 200N 474W 64 30 18(48) 2(50) X(50) 1(51) X(51) X(51)
24 209N 487W 34 60 30(90) 5(95) 1(96) X(96) X(96) X(96)
24 209N 487W 50 6 49(55) 8(63) 1(64) 2(66) 1(67) X(67)
24 209N 487W 64 1 29(30) 11(41) 1(42) 1(43) 1(44) X(44)
36 218N 498W 34 11 48(59) 20(79) 6(85) 4(89) X(89) 1(90)
36 218N 498W 50 1 16(17) 28(45) 8(53) 3(56) 1(57) X(57)
36 218N 498W 64 X 6( 6) 19(25) 6(31) 3(34) 1(35) X(35)
48 226N 510W 34 3 20(23) 31(54) 16(70) 9(79) 1(80) 1(81)
48 226N 510W 50 X 3( 3) 19(22) 14(36) 9(45) 1(46) 1(47)
48 226N 510W 64 X 1( 1) 9(10) 10(20) 6(26) 1(27) X(27)
72 240N 535W 34 X 1( 1) 10(11) 17(28) 25(53) 8(61) 2(63)
72 240N 535W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 18(26) 6(32) 1(33)
72 240N 535W 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) 3(16) 1(17)
96 260N 560W 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 21(25) 17(42) 7(49)
96 260N 560W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 11(18) 2(20)
96 260N 560W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 2(10)
120 290N 575W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 15(21) 10(31)
120 290N 575W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 6(13)
120 290N 575W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 70 80 85 85 85 80 75
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN/LANDSEA
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