926
FONT13 KNHC 141444
PWSAT3
TROPICAL STORM HELENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006
1500 UTC THU SEP 14 2006
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 36.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 138N 391W 34 68 9(77) X(77) X(77) 1(78) X(78) X(78)
12 138N 391W 50 9 3(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
12 138N 391W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 148N 420W 34 2 63(65) 10(75) 1(76) 1(77) X(77) X(77)
24 148N 420W 50 X 19(19) 11(30) 1(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32)
24 148N 420W 64 X 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
36 162N 441W 34 X 15(15) 45(60) 11(71) 3(74) 1(75) X(75)
36 162N 441W 50 X 1( 1) 24(25) 9(34) 2(36) 1(37) X(37)
36 162N 441W 64 X X( X) 7( 7) 6(13) 1(14) 1(15) X(15)
48 175N 460W 34 X 1( 1) 24(25) 28(53) 13(66) 1(67) 1(68)
48 175N 460W 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 19(24) 10(34) 1(35) 1(36)
48 175N 460W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 5(15) 1(16) 1(17)
72 195N 490W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 32(46) 9(55) 3(58)
72 195N 490W 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 17(21) 6(27) 2(29)
72 195N 490W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 4(14) 2(16)
96 215N 510W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 22(24) 17(41) 8(49)
96 215N 510W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 10(18) 4(22)
96 215N 510W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 2(11)
120 245N 530W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 14(19) 13(32)
120 245N 530W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 8(14)
120 245N 530W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 45 55 65 75 85 90 90
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER COBB/BEVEN
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