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 743 
 FONT13 KNHC 131431
 PWSAT3
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5       
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL082006               
 1500 UTC WED SEP 13 2006                                            
                                                                     
 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WAS LOCATED NEAR   
 LATITUDE 12.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 28.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
 WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                              
                                                                     
 CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
    ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
    ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
    ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
 FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
     IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
         AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
    (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
         12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
 X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
 LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
    PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                     
 Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
    ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
    EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
    CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                     
                                                                     
   - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                     
                FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
   TIME       12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
 PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
              00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
                                                                     
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                     
  
 ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                   GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
  
                                                                     
   - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                     
                FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
   TIME       12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
 PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
              00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
                                                                     
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
  HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                     
  12 122N  307W 34 13   4(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
  12 122N  307W 50  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
  12 122N  307W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
  
  24 128N  340W 34  X  19(19)   9(28)   X(28)   1(29)   X(29)   X(29)
  24 128N  340W 50  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
  24 128N  340W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
  
  36 138N  370W 34  X   1( 1)  24(25)  10(35)   2(37)   X(37)   X(37)
  36 138N  370W 50  X   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
  36 138N  370W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
  
  48 151N  396W 34  X   X( X)   4( 4)  24(28)  11(39)   2(41)   X(41)
  48 151N  396W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   5(12)   X(12)   1(13)
  48 151N  396W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
  
  
  72 180N  435W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  27(30)   9(39)   2(41)
  72 180N  435W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   5(16)   1(17)
  72 180N  435W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)
  
  
  96 200N  465W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)  17(28)   8(36)
  96 200N  465W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   7(10)   4(14)
  96 200N  465W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)
  
  
 120 220N  495W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  12(14)  11(25)
 120 220N  495W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   6(10)
 120 220N  495W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
  
                - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
 FCST MAX WIND     30     35      40      50      60      70      80
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
  
                                                                     
 $$                                                                  
 FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    
                                                                     
                                                                     
 
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