944 
 WTPZ43 KNHC 160839
 TCDEP3
  
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION HECTOR DISCUSSION NUMBER  20
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP082012
 200 AM PDT THU AUG 16 2012
  
 ONE BAND HAS DEVELOPED ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF HECTOR...ENOUGH TO
 KEEP IT A TROPICAL CYCLONE FOR NOW.  THE DEPRESSION WILL BE
 MAINTAINED AS A 25 KT SYSTEM...WHICH IS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE
 SATELLITE ESTIMATES FROM TAFB.  HECTOR IS MOVING OVER PROGRESSIVELY
 COOLER SSTS IN A SHEARED ENVIRONMENT...WHICH SHOULD PROMOTE
 FURTHER WEAKENING.  THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO DECAY TO A REMNANT
 LOW WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS.  THE INITIAL MOTION HAS BENT A LITTLE
 MORE TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335/4.  THIS GENERAL PATH IS
 FORECAST UNTIL THE LOW PRESSURE AREA DISSIPATES IN A FEW DAYS OR
 SO...AND ONLY A SMALL WESTWARD ADJUSTMENT WAS MADE WITH THE LATEST
 NHC TRACK FORECAST.  
  
  
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
  
 INIT  16/0900Z 19.0N 115.8W   25 KT  30 MPH
  12H  16/1800Z 19.9N 116.1W   25 KT  30 MPH
  24H  17/0600Z 20.8N 116.5W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  36H  17/1800Z 21.7N 116.9W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  48H  18/0600Z 22.4N 117.2W   15 KT  15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  72H  19/0600Z 23.0N 117.5W   15 KT  15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  96H  20/0600Z...DISSIPATED
  
 $$
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