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 493 
 FOPZ14 KNHC 200830
 PWSEP4
 HURRICANE HECTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  19                
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP092006               
 0900 UTC SUN AUG 20 2006                                            
                                                                     
 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HECTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 132.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
 75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/HR.                                        
                                                                     
 CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
    ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
    ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
    ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
 FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
     IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
         AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
    (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
         06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
 X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
 LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
    PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                     
 Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
    PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
    HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                     
                                                                     
   - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                     
                FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
   TIME       06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
 PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
              18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
                                                                     
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                     
  
 ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                   GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
  
                                                                     
   - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                     
                FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
   TIME       06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
 PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
              18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
                                                                     
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
  HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                     
  12 202N 1337W 34 91   2(93)   X(93)   X(93)   1(94)   X(94)   X(94)
  12 202N 1337W 50 65   3(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)
  12 202N 1337W 64 13   2(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
  
  24 210N 1350W 34 29  28(57)   2(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)
  24 210N 1350W 50  2  14(16)   2(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
  24 210N 1350W 64  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
  
  36 217N 1362W 34  4  16(20)   9(29)   2(31)   1(32)   X(32)   X(32)
  36 217N 1362W 50  X   2( 2)   4( 6)   X( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
  36 217N 1362W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
  
  48 220N 1375W 34  2   4( 6)   5(11)   3(14)   2(16)   X(16)   X(16)
  48 220N 1375W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
  48 220N 1375W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
  
  
  72 225N 1400W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   4( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
  72 225N 1400W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
  72 225N 1400W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
  
                - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
 FCST MAX WIND     60     45      35      25      20       0       0
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
  
                                                                     
 $$                                                                  
 FORECASTER PASCH                                                    
                                                                     
                                                                     
 
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