414 
 WTNT43 KNHC 220854
 TCDAT3
  
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY DISCUSSION NUMBER  14
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082011
 400 AM CDT MON AUG 22 2011
  
 EARLIER OVERNIGHT...AN AUTOMATED STATION IN ALVARADO...WITHIN THE
 MEXICAN STATE OF VERACRUZ...REPORTED WINDS VEERING FROM THE
 NORTH-NORTHWEST TO THE SOUTHEAST WITH A MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND OF
 20 KT AND A GUST TO 30 KT.  BASED ON THIS OBSERVATION AND EARLIER
 MICROWAVE DATA...IT APPEARS THAT HARVEY TURNED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD
 AND MOVED INLAND JUST TO THE SOUTH OF ALVARADO BETWEEN 0000 AND
 0300 UTC.  THE INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED TO BE 255/9...ALTHOUGH
 IT COULD BE A LITTLE FASTER...AND HARVEY IS FORECAST TO SLOW DOWN
 ON THIS HEADING AS IT MOVES FARTHER INLAND TOWARDS THE MOUNTAINS OF
 SOUTH-CENTRAL MEXICO DURING THE DAY.  
 
 CLUSTERS OF DEEP CONVECTION ARE SCATTERED ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN
 AND CENTRAL MEXICO...AND THE INTENSITY IS BEING HELD AT 30 KT FOR
 THIS ADVISORY.  HOWEVER...HARVEY SHOULD WEAKEN NOW THAT IT IS OVER
 LAND...AND IT COULD ULTIMATELY DISSIPATE LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT
 OVER THE SIERRA MADRE MOUNTAINS.
 
 HEAVY RAINFALL...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF FLASH FLOODING AND
 MUDSLIDES...WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO FOR
 THE NEXT DAY OR TWO EVEN IF THE CENTER OF HARVEY DISSIPATES LATER
 TODAY. 
  
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
  
 INIT  22/0900Z 18.4N  96.0W   30 KT  35 MPH
  12H  22/1800Z 18.2N  96.8W   25 KT  30 MPH
  24H  23/0600Z...DISSIPATED
  
 $$
 FORECASTER BERG