Image Department Meteorology
Meteorology_Home Weather_Server News/Seminars
People
Research
Academics Application Contact_Us

Hawaiian_Weather
US_Mainland_Weather
Tropical_Weather
Satellite_Imagery
Radar_Imagery
Marine
Numerical_Models
LAPS
Forecasts
Observations
Archive
Links Disclaimer
Space
SOEST_Home
University_of_Hawaii_Home

 672 
 WTNT43 KNHC 210238
 TCDAT3
  
 TROPICAL STORM HARVEY DISCUSSION NUMBER   9
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082011
 1000 PM CDT SAT AUG 20 2011
  
 THE CENTER OF HARVEY HAS CONTINUED TO MOVE INLAND ACROSS NORTHERN
 GUATEMALA OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS.  THE COVERAGE OF COLD CONVECTIVE
 TOPS HAS DECREASED NEAR THE CENTER...AND ON THAT BASIS THE INITIAL
 INTENSITY IS LOWERED TO 35 KT.  HARVEY SHOULD CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY
 SPIN DOWN OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AND MODEL FIELDS INDICATE THAT
 THE SURFACE CIRCULATION WILL DISSIPATE WITHIN 36 HOURS.
  
 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 280/13.  THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE NORTH
 OF HARVEY WILL CONTINUE TO STEER THE CYCLONE ON A GENERAL WESTWARD
 TRACK UNTIL DISSIPATION.  THE NEW NHC OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SIMPLY
 AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS ONE AND LIES NEAR THE CENTER OF THE
 GUIDANCE SUITE.
  
 ALTHOUGH HARVEY HAS WEAKENED...IT WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE HEAVY AND
 POTENTIALLY FLOODING RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF GUATEMALA AND
 EASTERN MEXICO FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
  
  
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
  
 INIT  21/0300Z 17.4N  90.2W   35 KT  40 MPH...INLAND
  12H  21/1200Z 17.7N  92.1W   30 KT  35 MPH...INLAND
  24H  22/0000Z 17.9N  94.3W   25 KT  30 MPH...INLAND
  36H  22/1200Z...DISSIPATED
  
 $$
 FORECASTER BRENNAN
  
 
Return to the Tropical Systems Page for HARVEY

Back to main Tropical Weather page




This page is maintained voluntarily by the MKWC and the UHMET faculty, staff, and students.
It was last modified on: Thu, Jul 23 2020 - 2003 UTC
Send comments to: Ryan Lyman