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 222 
 FONT12 KNHC 190831
 PWSAT2
 HURRICANE GORDON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  34                
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072006               
 0900 UTC TUE SEP 19 2006                                            
                                                                     
 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GORDON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
 38.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 38.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
 90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/HR.                                       
                                                                     
 CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
    ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
    ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
    ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
 FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
     IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
         AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
    (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
         06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
 X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
 LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
    PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                     
 Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
    ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
    EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
    CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                     
                                                                     
   - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                     
                FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
   TIME       06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
 PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
              18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
                                                                     
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                     
  
 ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                   GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
  
                                                                     
   - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                     
                FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
   TIME       06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
 PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
              18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
                                                                     
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
  HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                     
  12 383N  336W 34 93   4(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
  12 383N  336W 50 57  13(70)   X(70)   X(70)   X(70)   X(70)   X(70)
  12 383N  336W 64 37   6(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)
  
  24 388N  261W 34  X  72(72)  11(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)
  24 388N  261W 50  X  33(33)   8(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)
  24 388N  261W 64  X  10(10)   3(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
  
  36 408N  179W 34  X   X( X)  47(47)  11(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)
  36 408N  179W 50  X   X( X)  14(14)   5(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
  36 408N  179W 64  X   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
  
  48 436N   88W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)  31(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)
  48 436N   88W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
  48 436N   88W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
  
                - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
 FCST MAX WIND     75     65      55      50       0       0       0
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
  
                                                                     
 $$                                                                  
 FORECASTER STEWART                                                  
                                                                     
                                                                     
 
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