488
FONT12 KNHC 141435
PWSAT2
HURRICANE GORDON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006
1500 UTC THU SEP 14 2006
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GORDON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
29.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
105 KTS...120 MPH...195 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 307N 549W 34 99 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 307N 549W 50 87 6(93) X(93) X(93) 1(94) X(94) X(94)
12 307N 549W 64 61 11(72) 1(73) 1(74) X(74) X(74) X(74)
24 318N 539W 34 74 20(94) 2(96) X(96) 1(97) X(97) X(97)
24 318N 539W 50 15 51(66) 6(72) 1(73) 1(74) X(74) X(74)
24 318N 539W 64 4 37(41) 7(48) X(48) 1(49) X(49) X(49)
36 326N 531W 34 18 56(74) 10(84) 3(87) 3(90) X(90) X(90)
36 326N 531W 50 2 30(32) 20(52) 4(56) 2(58) X(58) X(58)
36 326N 531W 64 X 13(13) 16(29) 3(32) X(32) X(32) 1(33)
48 336N 520W 34 2 29(31) 27(58) 10(68) 6(74) 2(76) X(76)
48 336N 520W 50 X 5( 5) 18(23) 11(34) 5(39) X(39) X(39)
48 336N 520W 64 X 2( 2) 8(10) 7(17) 3(20) X(20) X(20)
72 355N 495W 34 X 2( 2) 8(10) 14(24) 21(45) 5(50) X(50)
72 355N 495W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 10(16) 3(19) X(19)
72 355N 495W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8)
96 395N 430W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 18(22) 7(29)
96 395N 430W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9)
96 395N 430W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)
120 430N 330W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14)
120 430N 330W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
120 430N 330W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 105 90 80 65 55 50 50
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI/BEVEN
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