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 331 
 WTNT23 KNHC 140236
 TCMAT3
  
 HURRICANE GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
 0300 UTC TUE OCT 14 2014
  
 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
  
 THE GOVERNMENT OF ST. MAARTEN HAS REPLACED THE HURRICANE WARNING
 FOR ST. MAARTEN WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
  
 THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR PUERTO RICO...CULEBRA...VIEQUES...AND ST.
 CROIX HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
  
 THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL
 STORM WARNING FOR ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS AND
 NEVIS.
  
 THE GOVERNMENT OF THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES HAS DISCONTINUED THE
 TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS.
  
 SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
  
 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
 * ST. MARTIN
 * ANGUILLA
  
 A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * ST. THOMAS AND ST. JOHN IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * ST. MAARTEN
 * ST. BARTHELEMY
 * PUERTO RICO
 * VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
 * U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
  
 A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
 SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
  
 A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
 WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
 EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
  
 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N  63.4W AT 14/0300Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  10 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
 64 KT....... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
 50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
 34 KT....... 90NE  80SE  50SW  90NW.
 12 FT SEAS..120NE  60SE  60SW 120NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N  63.4W AT 14/0300Z
 AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  63.1W
  
 FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 19.8N  64.7W
 MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
 50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
 34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW 100NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 21.5N  66.1W
 MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
 50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 34 KT...110NE 110SE  70SW 110NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 23.1N  67.4W
 MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 34 KT...120NE 120SE  80SW 120NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 24.5N  68.1W
 MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 27.3N  67.9W
 MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 50 KT... 80NE  80SE  70SW  70NW.
 34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 31.5N  65.5W
 MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 37.0N  61.0W
 MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N  63.4W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER BRENNAN
  
  
 
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