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 009 
 WTNT23 KNHC 121743
 TCMAT3
  
 TROPICAL STORM GONZALO SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
 1730 UTC SUN OCT 12 2014
  
 THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
 GUADELOUPE...DESIRADE...LES SAINTES...MARIE GALANTE...ST. MARTIN...
 AND ST. BARTHELEMY
  
 THE GOVERNMENT OF THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
 STORM WARNING FOR ST.MAARTIN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS.
  
 THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
 STORM WARNING FOR BARBUDA...ANTIGUA...ANGUILLA...ST. KITTS...
 NEVIS...AND MONTSERRAT.
  
 THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
 STORM WATCH FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...
 CULEBRA...AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.
  
 SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * GUADELOUPE
 * DESIRADE
 * LES SAINTES
 * MARIE GALANTE
 * ST.MARTIN
 * ST. BARTHELEMY
 * ST.MAARTIN
 * SABA
 * ST. EUSTATIUS
 * BARBUDA
 * ANTIGUA
 * ANGUILLA
 * ST. KITTS
 * NEVIS
 * MONTSERRAT
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * PUERTO RICO
 * VIEQUES
 * CULEBRA
 * U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
 * BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
 EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
 THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
 POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  58.4W AT 12/1730Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   9 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
 34 KT....... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
 12 FT SEAS.. 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  58.4W AT 12/1730Z
 AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  57.4W
  
 FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 16.4N  59.5W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 16.5N  61.7W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 17.2N  63.8W
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
 34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 18.2N  65.5W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 20.5N  67.5W
 MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
 34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 22.0N  68.0W
 MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 24.0N  68.0W
 MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N  58.4W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER STEWART
  
  
 
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