066
FOPZ13 KNHC 030230
PWSEP3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION GILMA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082006
0300 UTC THU AUG 03 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION GILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 4(10) 1(11) 1(12) X(12)
ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 6(11) 1(12) 1(13)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 158N 1087W 34 17 5(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
12 158N 1087W 50 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
12 158N 1087W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
24 166N 1102W 34 1 16(17) 5(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
24 166N 1102W 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
24 166N 1102W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 176N 1116W 34 X 4( 4) 11(15) 4(19) 1(20) 1(21) X(21)
36 176N 1116W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
36 176N 1116W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 185N 1130W 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 8(13) 5(18) X(18) 1(19)
48 185N 1130W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
48 185N 1130W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 200N 1155W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 7( 9) 2(11) 1(12)
72 200N 1155W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
72 200N 1155W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
96 205N 1175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9)
96 205N 1175W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
96 205N 1175W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 205N 1205W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5)
120 205N 1205W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
120 205N 1205W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 30 30 30 30 25 25 25
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/KNABB
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