293 
 WTPZ25 KNHC 261419
 TCMEP5
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP102004
 1500Z THU AUG 26 2004
  
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 106.4W AT 26/1500Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  10 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 106.4W AT 26/1500Z
 AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 105.9W
  
 FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 15.1N 108.1W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 16.1N 110.5W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 17.0N 112.8W
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 34 KT... 70NE  60SE  55SW  70NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 17.5N 115.1W
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
 34 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 18.2N 120.0W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 50 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
 34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 18.5N 125.0W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 19.0N 130.0W
 MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 106.4W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z
  
 FORECASTER STEWART
  
  
 $$