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 178 
 WTNT42 KNHC 030238
 TCDAT2
 
 TROPICAL STORM GASTON DISCUSSION NUMBER  46
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072016
 1100 PM AST FRI SEP 02 2016
 
 A 2222 UTC ASCAT-B pass indicated that Gaston was producing maximum
 winds of 30-35 kt in its southeastern quadrant.  The initial
 intensity is therefore lowered to 35 kt, but Gaston won't be a
 tropical storm for much longer.  The last bit of deep convection
 dissipated around 1800 UTC, so the cyclone is likely to be declared
 post-tropical Saturday morning.  The remnant low is likely to
 maintain 30-kt winds until it dissipates in 36 hours, based on
 guidance from the global models.
 
 The initial motion is 070/14 kt.  The remnant low is expected to
 turn northeastward and accelerate away from the Azores during the
 next 24 hours ahead of an approaching cold front.  The track models
 agree on this scenario, and the NHC forecast remains close to the
 TVCN multi-model consensus.
 
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
 INIT  03/0300Z 40.1N  28.7W   35 KT  40 MPH
  12H  03/1200Z 41.1N  26.5W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  24H  04/0000Z 43.3N  23.1W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  36H  04/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
 $$
 Forecaster Berg
 
 
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