980 
 WTNT22 KNHC 142048
 TCMAT2
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-SEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL272005
 2100Z MON NOV 14 2005
  
 INTERESTS IN THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA AND ADJACENT LAND
 AREAS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
  
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N  64.5W AT 14/2100Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   7 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N  64.5W AT 14/2100Z
 AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N  64.1W
  
 FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 14.6N  65.8W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 15.1N  67.5W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT... 50NE  40SE  25SW  40NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 15.4N  69.4W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT... 50NE  40SE  25SW  40NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 15.5N  71.3W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 15.5N  75.0W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 50 KT... 35NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
 34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 15.5N  78.5W
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 15.5N  80.5W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N  64.5W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z
  
 FORECASTER KNABB
  
  
 $$