031
WTPZ22 KNHC 221449
TCMEP2
TROPICAL STORM FRANK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072016
1500 UTC FRI JUL 22 2016
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS IN EXTREME SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF FRANK.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 107.4W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 107.4W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 106.9W
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 18.1N 109.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 18.5N 110.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 19.0N 112.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 19.5N 113.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 20.5N 115.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 21.3N 116.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 22.5N 119.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 107.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA
179
WTPZ21 KNHC 221449
TCMEP1
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062016
1500 UTC FRI JUL 22 2016
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 133.5W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 133.5W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 132.9W
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 22.6N 135.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 23.7N 137.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 24.7N 140.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 25.8N 142.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.8N 133.5W
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON ESTELLE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE POST-TROPICAL
CYCLONE PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02
KWBC.
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
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