986
WTNT21 KNHC 061424
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FRANCES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 51
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062004
1500Z MON SEP 06 2004
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM THE SUWANEE RIVER TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND
AND FROM WEST OF INDIAN PASS TO DESTIN.
A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SUWANEE RIVER TO
INDIAN PASS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SUWANEE RIVER TO
ANNA MARIA ISLAND AND FROM INDIAN PASS TO DESTIN.
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH OF ANNA
MARIA ISLAND HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA
EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND THE GEORGIA COAST HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.5N 84.0W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 200SE 200SW 175NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.5N 84.0W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.2N 83.8W
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 30.5N 84.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 75SE 75SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 32.0N 85.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 33.5N 85.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 35.0N 85.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 40.0N 81.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z...INLAND
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z...INLAND
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.5N 84.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z
FORECASTER AVILA
$$
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