184 
 WTNT21 KNHC 060216
 TCMAT1
 TROPICAL STORM FRANCES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  49
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062004
 0300Z MON SEP 06 2004
  
 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWEST GULF COAST
 OF FLORIDA FROM ANNA MARIA ISLAND TO DESTIN.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWEST COAST
 OF FLORIDA FROM SOUTH OF ANNA MARIA ISLAND TO OCEAN REEF INCLUDING
 ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS...FLORIDA BAY AND THE DRY TORTUGAS...AND
 FOR THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA  AND GEORGIA FROM NORTH OF JUPITER
 INLET NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA...INCLUDING LAKE
 OKEECHOBEE.
   
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.3N  82.7W AT 06/0300Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   7 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  976 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
 50 KT.......125NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 34 KT.......175NE 125SE 125SW 175NW.
 12 FT SEAS..350NE 350SE 200SW 200NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.3N  82.7W AT 06/0300Z
 AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.1N  82.3W
  
 FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 28.8N  83.7W...OVER WATER
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 50 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 34 KT...150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 30.0N  85.0W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 64 KT...  0NE  40SE  40SW   0NW.
 50 KT... 50NE  75SE  75SW  50NW.
 34 KT...100NE 150SE 150SW 100NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 31.6N  85.6W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 50NE 125SE 125SW  50NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 33.0N  85.7W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
  
 FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 37.0N  84.0W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 41.5N  79.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
 MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z...ABSORBED BY A FRONT
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.3N  82.7W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z
  
 FORECASTER LAWRENCE
  
  
 $$