366 
 WTNT21 KNHC 270837
 TCMAT1
 HURRICANE FRANCES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062004
 0900Z FRI AUG 27 2004
  
 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N  48.4W AT 27/0900Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  12 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  975 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
 64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
 50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
 34 KT....... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N  48.4W AT 27/0900Z
 AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N  48.0W
  
 FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 15.3N  50.3W
 MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
 50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
 34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 16.5N  52.0W
 MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
 50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 18.0N  53.5W
 MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
 50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 19.0N  55.5W
 MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 20.5N  58.5W
 MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 21.0N  61.5W
 MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 21.5N  65.0W
 MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N  48.4W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z
  
 FORECASTER AVILA
  
  
 $$