606 
 WTPA41 PHFO 300242
 TCDCP1
 
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FLOSSIE DISCUSSION NUMBER  21
 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP062013
 500 PM HST MON JUL 29 2013
 
 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE CENTER OF FLOSSIE REMAINS
 EXPOSED AND IS GRADUALLY BECOMING LESS DEFINED. THE DEEPEST
 CONVECTION REMAINS TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST OF THE LOW LEVEL
 CENTER. CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES INDICATE THAT FLOSSIE IS NO
 LONGER A TROPICAL STORM AND IS NOW CLASSIFIED AS A DEPRESSION. 
 CONTINUED WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS SHEAR AND INTERACTION WITH
 MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN IMPACT THE SYSTEM. FLOSSIE IS FORECAST TO
 REMAIN A DEPRESSION THROUGH 24 HOURS AND BECOME A REMNANT LOW IN 
 36 TO 48 HOURS.
  
 THE TRACK GUIDANCE REMAINS TIGHTLY CLUSTERED WITH MOST MODELS
 INDICATING A WEST TO WEST NORTHWEST TRACK OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
 THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK HAS BEEN SHIFTED SLIGHTLY TO THE RIGHT 
 FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST BASED ON THE RECENT MOVEMENT OF FLOSSIE.  
 THIS TRACK WILL HAVE FLOSSIE PASSING BY JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE
 CENTRAL AND WESTERN MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.
  
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
  
 INIT  30/0300Z 21.3N 156.5W   30 KT  35 MPH
  12H  30/1200Z 22.1N 158.9W   30 KT  35 MPH
  24H  31/0000Z 23.0N 162.3W   25 KT  30 MPH
  36H  31/1200Z 23.5N 165.5W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  48H  01/0000Z 24.0N 168.7W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  72H  02/0000Z...DISSIPATED
  
 $$
 FORECASTER BURKE