550
WTPA22 PHFO 122040
TCMCP2
HURRICANE FLOSSIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP092007
2100 UTC SUN AUG 12 2007
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 145.8W AT 12/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 289 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 949 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE 25SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT....... 55NE 45SE 45SW 55NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..110NE 85SE 85SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 145.8W AT 12/2100Z
AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 145.2W
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 14.4N 147.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT... 80NE 55SE 55SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 15.3N 149.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 16.2N 151.8W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 17.0N 154.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW.
34 KT... 70NE 45SE 45SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 18.5N 157.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 35NE 25SE 25SW 35NW.
34 KT... 65NE 40SE 40SW 65NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 20.0N 161.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 21.3N 165.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N 145.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER KODAMA/BIRCHARD
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