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HURRICANE FLORENCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006
0900 UTC SUN SEP 10 2006
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
27.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 26(29) 8(37)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 4(14)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 24(35) 4(39)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 1(15)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 14(26) 2(28)
ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 1(10)
ILE ST PIERRE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 10(18) 1(19)
BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6)
BURGEO NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 7(13) 1(14)
PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 3(14) 1(15)
EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 6(16) 1(17)
SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5)
SYDNEY NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 23(24) 6(30) X(30)
SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 3(11) X(11)
SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) 1(10)
HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
BERMUDA 34 29 44(73) 18(91) 1(92) X(92) X(92) X(92)
BERMUDA 50 X 21(21) 33(54) 4(58) X(58) X(58) X(58)
BERMUDA 64 X 6( 6) 27(33) 3(36) X(36) X(36) X(36)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 290N 659W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 290N 659W 50 91 4(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
12 290N 659W 64 59 16(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75)
24 310N 660W 34 79 18(97) 2(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
24 310N 660W 50 9 65(74) 8(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82)
24 310N 660W 64 1 49(50) 11(61) 1(62) X(62) X(62) X(62)
36 335N 650W 34 7 42(49) 38(87) 6(93) X(93) X(93) X(93)
36 335N 650W 50 X 6( 6) 48(54) 10(64) X(64) X(64) X(64)
36 335N 650W 64 X 1( 1) 29(30) 8(38) X(38) X(38) X(38)
48 364N 632W 34 X 1( 1) 30(31) 40(71) 10(81) X(81) X(81)
48 364N 632W 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 31(36) 9(45) X(45) X(45)
48 364N 632W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 5(22) X(22) X(22)
72 425N 560W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 43(44) 9(53) 1(54)
72 425N 560W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 5(21) X(21)
72 425N 560W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) X(10)
96 470N 490W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 26(31) 7(38)
96 470N 490W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 3(15)
96 470N 490W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6)
120 500N 370W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 14(17)
120 500N 370W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
120 500N 370W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 80 95 90 80 65 60 50
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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