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TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006
1500 UTC WED SEP 06 2006
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7)
CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 13(26)
BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 6(11)
BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7)
SAN SALVADOR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8)
MAYAGUANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8)
GRAND TURK 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
PONCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
SAN JUAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6)
SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6)
SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) 2( 5)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) 2( 7)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5)
BARBUDA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) 1( 6)
ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 193N 525W 34 86 5(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91)
12 193N 525W 50 22 8(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
12 193N 525W 64 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
24 205N 545W 34 16 56(72) 8(80) 1(81) X(81) X(81) X(81)
24 205N 545W 50 X 26(26) 11(37) 1(38) X(38) X(38) X(38)
24 205N 545W 64 X 5( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10)
36 220N 570W 34 1 13(14) 48(62) 12(74) 3(77) X(77) X(77)
36 220N 570W 50 X 1( 1) 28(29) 11(40) 2(42) X(42) X(42)
36 220N 570W 64 X X( X) 8( 8) 6(14) 2(16) X(16) X(16)
48 230N 595W 34 X 1( 1) 22(23) 33(56) 13(69) 2(71) 1(72)
48 230N 595W 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 23(28) 10(38) 1(39) 1(40)
48 230N 595W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 5(16) 1(17) X(17)
72 250N 640W 34 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 38(47) 13(60) 2(62)
72 250N 640W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 19(21) 9(30) 2(32)
72 250N 640W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 5(16) 2(18)
96 280N 670W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 27(42) 10(52)
96 280N 670W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 14(19) 5(24)
96 280N 670W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 3(11)
120 310N 670W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 20(24) 14(38)
120 310N 670W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 8(17)
120 310N 670W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 50 55 65 75 85 95 95
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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