Image Department Meteorology
Meteorology_Home Weather_Server News/Seminars
People
Research
Academics Application Contact_Us

Hawaiian_Weather
US_Mainland_Weather
Tropical_Weather
Satellite_Imagery
Radar_Imagery
Marine
Numerical_Models
LAPS
Forecasts
Observations
Archive
Links Disclaimer
Space
SOEST_Home
University_of_Hawaii_Home

 991 
 FONT11 KNHC 040229
 PWSAT1
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2         
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062006               
 0300 UTC MON SEP 04 2006                                            
                                                                     
 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX WAS LOCATED NEAR     
 LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 40.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
 WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                              
                                                                     
 CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
    ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
    ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
    ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
 FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
     IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
         AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
    (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
         00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                     
 PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
 X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
 LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
    PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                     
 Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
    ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
    EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
    CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                     
                                                                     
   - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                     
                FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
   TIME       00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
 PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
              12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
                                                                     
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                     
 GRAND TURK     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
  
 PONCE          34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
  
 SAN JUAN       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
  
 SAINT THOMAS   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)
  
 SAINT CROIX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)
  
 SAINT MAARTEN  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   7(10)
 SAINT MAARTEN  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
  
 ST KITTS-NEVIS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)
 ST KITTS-NEVIS 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
  
 BARBUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   6(10)
 BARBUDA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
  
 ANTIGUA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   6(10)
 ANTIGUA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
  
 GUADELOUPE     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)
 GUADELOUPE     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
  
 AVES           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
  
 DOMINICA       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
  
 MARTINIQUE     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
  
 SAINT LUCIA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
  
                                                                     
   - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                     
                FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
   TIME       00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
 PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
              12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
                                                                     
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
  HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                     
  12 159N  420W 34 24  15(39)   1(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)   1(41)
  12 159N  420W 50  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
  12 159N  420W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
  
  24 170N  438W 34  1  35(36)  11(47)   1(48)   1(49)   X(49)   X(49)
  24 170N  438W 50  X   6( 6)   4(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
  24 170N  438W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
  
  36 180N  455W 34  X   7( 7)  31(38)   8(46)   3(49)   X(49)   1(50)
  36 180N  455W 50  X   1( 1)   8( 9)   4(13)   1(14)   X(14)   1(15)
  36 180N  455W 64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
  
  48 189N  473W 34  X   1( 1)  13(14)  20(34)  10(44)   1(45)   1(46)
  48 189N  473W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   4(13)   X(13)   X(13)
  48 189N  473W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
  
  
  72 205N  515W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  25(29)   9(38)   2(40)
  72 205N  515W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   4(13)   1(14)
  72 205N  515W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)
  
  
  96 215N  560W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  17(24)   8(32)
  96 215N  560W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   3(11)
  96 215N  560W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
  
  
 120 225N  610W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)  13(21)
 120 225N  610W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)
 120 225N  610W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
  
                - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
 FCST MAX WIND     35     40      45      50      55      65      75
 FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
  
                                                                     
 $$                                                                  
 FORECASTER PASCH                                                    
                                                                     
                                                                     
 
Return to the Tropical Systems Page for FLORENCE

Back to main Tropical Weather page




This page is maintained voluntarily by the MKWC and the UHMET faculty, staff, and students.
It was last modified on: Thu, Jul 23 2020 - 2003 UTC
Send comments to: Ryan Lyman