242
WTPZ21 KNHC 172031
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062011
2100 UTC WED AUG 17 2011
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 138.2W AT 17/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 138.2W AT 17/2100Z
AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 138.0W
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 12.8N 139.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 13.6N 141.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 14.4N 142.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 15.1N 144.7W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 16.0N 148.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 16.6N 153.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.1N 138.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
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