121 
 WTPZ21 KNHC 112029
 TCMEP1
 HURRICANE FERNANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP062005
 2100Z THU AUG 11 2005
  
 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 121.8W AT 11/2100Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   7 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
 EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
 64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 34 KT.......100NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
 12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 121.8W AT 11/2100Z
 AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 121.4W
  
 FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 17.7N 122.8W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 18.1N 124.0W
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 50 KT... 45NE  45SE  35SW  45NW.
 34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 18.4N 125.2W
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 50 KT... 40NE  25SE  25SW  40NW.
 34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 18.5N 126.5W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 18.5N 129.0W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT... 50NE  35SE  35SW  50NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 18.5N 131.5W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 18.5N 135.0W
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 121.8W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z
  
 FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA
  
  
 $$