039 
 WTPZ21 KNHC 091437
 TCMEP1
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP062005
 ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
 1500Z TUE AUG 09 2005
  
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 115.1W AT 09/1500Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  12 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 115.1W AT 09/1500Z
 AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 114.5W
  
 FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 14.4N 116.8W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  20NW
  
 FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 14.9N 118.7W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 15.6N 120.5W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW
 34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 16.3N 122.5W
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW
 34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 17.2N 126.0W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 18.1N 129.8W...DISSIPATING
 MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 18.9N 133.9W...REMNANT LOW
 MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 115.1W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z
  
 FORECASTER ROTH
  
  
 $$