085 
 WTNT41 KNHC 232034
 TCDAT1
 TROPICAL STORM FAY DISCUSSION NUMBER  33
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
 500 PM EDT SAT AUG 23 2008
 
 SURFACE...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT AND RADAR DATA INDICATE THAT THE
 CENTER OF FAY IS INLAND OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. ALTHOUGH THE
 INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS AT 40 KNOTS...THE CIRCULATION IS
 GRADUALLY SPINNING DOWN WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS CONFINED MOSTLY TO
 CONVECTIVE BANDS TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. NOW THAT THE CENTER IS
 EXPECTED TO MOVE FARTHER INLAND WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED.
 
 FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 6 KNOTS AND THIS
 MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
 THEREAFTER...STEERING CURRENTS ARE FORECAST TO COLLAPSE AND FAY
 COULD REMAIN MEANDERING FOR THE NEXT 3 TO 5 DAYS. ALTHOUGH BY
 THEN...THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO BE A DEPRESSION OR A REMNANT
 LOW...IT WILL STILL BE ABLE TO PRODUCE TORRENTIAL RAINS ALONG ITS
 PATH AND THE EMPHASIS SHOULD CONTINUE ON THESE RAINS.
 
  
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
  
 INITIAL      23/2100Z 30.6N  86.3W    40 KT
  12HR VT     24/0600Z 30.9N  87.5W    35 KT...INLAND
  24HR VT     24/1800Z 31.2N  89.7W    30 KT...INLAND
  36HR VT     25/0600Z 31.0N  91.0W    30 KT...INLAND
  48HR VT     25/1800Z 31.0N  91.0W    25 KT...INLAND
  72HR VT     26/1800Z 31.0N  91.0W    25 KT...INLAND
  96HR VT     27/1800Z 32.5N  90.0W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 120HR VT     28/1800Z 34.5N  89.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
  
 $$
 FORECASTER AVILA