029 
 WTNT21 KNHC 191444
 TCMAT1
 TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
 1500 UTC TUE AUG 19 2008
  
 AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE WEST
 COAST OF FLORIDA...FLORIDA KEYS SOUTHWEST OF OCEAN REEF...AND
 FLORIDA BAY HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST COAST OF
 FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF OCEAN REEF TO FLAGLER BEACH...INCLUDING LAKE
 OKEECHOBEE.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
 NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH.
  
 AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
 NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.7N  81.3W AT 19/1500Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT   8 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  986 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
 50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 34 KT.......100NE  90SE  30SW  30NW.
 12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.7N  81.3W AT 19/1500Z
 AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.4N  81.4W
  
 FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 27.9N  80.9W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT...100NE 100SE  30SW   0NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 28.9N  80.6W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT... 75NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 29.5N  80.5W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 75NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 30.0N  80.9W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 75NE  75SE   0SW  45NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 30.6N  82.5W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 31.0N  84.0W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 31.5N  86.0W...REMNANT LOW
 MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.7N  81.3W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER AVILA