405 
 WTNT21 KNHC 172033
 TCMAT1
 TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
 2100 UTC SUN AUG 17 2008
  
 AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE HURRICANE WATCH ON THE WEST COAST OF
 FLORIDA IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO TARPON SPRINGS.  A HURRICANE
 WATCH IS IN NOW EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM SOUTH OF OCEAN
 REEF TO KEY WEST...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY...AND
 ALONG THE FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM CARD SOUND BRIDGE WESTWARD TO TARPON
 SPRINGS.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS
 ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
  
 A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FROM THE PROVINCES OF
 LA HABANA AND CIUDAD DE LA HABANA EASTWARD TO SANCTI SPIRITUS.
  
 AT 5 PM...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
 STORM WARNING FOR THE PROVINCES OF PINAR DEL RIO AND ISLA DE LA
 JUVENTUD...AND HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
 SOUTHEASTERN CUBA FROM THE PROVINCE OF LAS TUNAS EASTWARD.  A
 TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF CUBA FROM
 CAMAGUEY WESTWARD.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CAYMAN BRAC AND
 LITTLE CAYMAN.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS
 FROM CRAIG KEY WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING FLORIDA
 BAY.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
 ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF
 FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET...AND FOR LAKE
 OKEECHOBEE. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
 CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
 HOURS.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GRAND CAYMAN ISLAND.
  
 INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE NORTHWESTERN
 BAHAMAS...AND THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
 OF FAY.
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N  80.2W AT 17/2100Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  13 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
 34 KT....... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 120SE   0SW  30NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N  80.2W AT 17/2100Z
 AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N  79.8W
  
 FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 22.3N  81.7W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
 34 KT... 90NE  90SE  30SW  45NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 23.8N  82.8W...OVER WATER
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 50 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
 34 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  50NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 25.3N  83.1W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
 50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
 34 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 27.0N  83.2W
 MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
 34 KT...125NE 125SE  75SW  75NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 30.0N  83.0W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 50 KT... 45NE  45SE  25SW  25NW.
 34 KT...125NE 125SE  75SW  75NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 33.5N  82.0W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 37.0N  82.0W...INLAND REMNANT LOW
 MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.0N  80.2W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER BEVEN