246 
 WTNT21 KNHC 160850
 TCMAT1
 TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
 0900 UTC SAT AUG 16 2008
  
 AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST OF
 THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM EAST OF CABO FRANCES VIEJO ON THE
 NORTHERN COAST TO SAN PEDRO DE MACORIS ON THE SOUTHERN COAST HAS
 BEEN DISCONTINUED.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST
 OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO FRANCES VIEJO WESTWARD TO THE
 NORTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI...AND FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF HAITI.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS
 ISLANDS...THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
 GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GRANMA.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
 HOLGUIN AND LAS TUNAS...AND FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.  
 TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE IN THE PROVINCES OF
 CENTRAL CUBA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.
  
 INTERESTS IN WESTERN CUBA...THE FLORIDA KEYS...AND THE SOUTHERN
 FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N  72.0W AT 16/0900Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  12 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
 34 KT....... 90NE  60SE   0SW  75NW.
 12 FT SEAS..120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N  72.0W AT 16/0900Z
 AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N  71.4W
  
 FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 19.0N  74.0W...OVER WATER
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT... 90NE  60SE   0SW  75NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 19.6N  76.4W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
 34 KT...100NE  75SE  40SW  75NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 20.5N  78.3W
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
 34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  75NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 21.8N  79.9W...NEAR SOUTHERN COAST OF CUBA
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
 34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 25.0N  82.0W
 MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 34 KT...120NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 28.5N  83.5W
 MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 32.0N  84.5W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N  72.0W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER KNABB