187 
 WTNT21 KNHC 160237
 TCMAT1
 TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
 0300 UTC SAT AUG 16 2008
  
 AT 11 PM AST...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR HAITI HAS BEEN
 EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO PORT AU PRINCE.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS
 NOW IN EFFECT FOR HAITI FROM PORT AU PRINCE NORTHWARD ALONG THE
 ENTIRE NORTH COAST.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE NORTH COAST OF
 THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND FOR THE SOUTH COAST EAST OF SAN PEDRO DE
 MACORIS.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURK AND CAICOS
 ISLANDS...FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES
 OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GRANMA.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
 HOLGUIN AND LAS TUNAS...AND FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N  70.8W AT 16/0300Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  12 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
 34 KT....... 90NE  50SE   0SW  75NW.
 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  50SE   0SW  75NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N  70.8W AT 16/0300Z
 AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N  70.2W
  
 FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 18.8N  72.9W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 90NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 19.3N  75.5W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT... 90NE  60SE   0SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 20.0N  77.8W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 34 KT... 90NE  60SE   0SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 21.0N  79.5W
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
 34 KT... 60NE  75SE  25SW  75NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 24.0N  81.5W
 MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
 34 KT... 90NE  75SE  30SW  75NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 27.5N  83.0W
 MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 31.0N  84.0W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N  70.8W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER AVILA