986
WTPZ21 KNHC 130233
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM FABIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062012
0300 UTC FRI JUL 13 2012
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 109.0W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 90SE 0SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 109.0W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 108.6W
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 14.4N 110.1W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 15.1N 111.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 15.6N 113.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 16.0N 114.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 17.0N 116.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 19.0N 118.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 21.5N 119.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N 109.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
652
WTPZ25 KNHC 130233
TCMEP5
HURRICANE EMILIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052012
0300 UTC FRI JUL 13 2012
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 123.5W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 80SE 70SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 123.5W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 123.0W
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 15.5N 125.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 70SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 15.8N 127.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 70SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 16.0N 130.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 16.2N 132.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 16.4N 137.8W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 16.3N 142.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 16.3N 146.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 123.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
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