299
FOPZ12 KNHC 010256
PWSEP2
TROPICAL STORM FABIO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072006
0300 UTC TUE AUG 01 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FABIO WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 123.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 148N 1250W 34 52 12(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64)
12 148N 1250W 50 5 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
12 148N 1250W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 152N 1273W 34 2 43(45) 9(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54)
24 152N 1273W 50 X 8( 8) 4(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
24 152N 1273W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
36 158N 1297W 34 X 6( 6) 28(34) 8(42) 1(43) X(43) X(43)
36 158N 1297W 50 X X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
36 158N 1297W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
48 163N 1320W 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 15(23) 6(29) X(29) X(29)
48 163N 1320W 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
48 163N 1320W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
72 165N 1365W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 3(14) 1(15)
72 165N 1365W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
72 165N 1365W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
96 165N 1415W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8)
96 165N 1415W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
96 165N 1415W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 165N 1465W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
120 165N 1465W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 165N 1465W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 40 45 45 40 35 30 25
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
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