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 186 
 WTPZ25 KNHC 311436
 TCMEP5
  
 TROPICAL STORM EUGENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052011
 1500 UTC SUN JUL 31 2011
  
 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 100.5W AT 31/1500Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   9 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
 34 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 100.5W AT 31/1500Z
 AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.9N 100.2W
  
 FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 11.5N 101.8W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 12.2N 103.5W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 60NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 13.1N 105.4W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 34 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 13.8N 107.2W
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 75NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 15.0N 110.5W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  40NW.
 34 KT... 75NE  60SE  45SW  75NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 16.5N 113.5W
 MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 18.0N 116.0W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.0N 100.5W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
  
  
 
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