426 
 WTPZ41 KNHC 220836
 TCDEP1
 
 TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER  28
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062016
 200 AM PDT FRI JUL 22 2016
 
 Estelle has been devoid of deep convection since 0000 UTC. The
 circulation, however, is still vigorous. Based on continuity and a
 recent ASCAT-B pass over the cyclone, the initial intensity has been
 adjusted to 35 kt. Since the cyclone is moving over increasingly
 cooler waters, additional weakening is forecast, and Estelle will
 likely degenerate into a remnant low today, and probably will
 dissipate during the weekend. I would not be surprised if the system
 generates sporadic bursts of thunderstorms during the next day or
 so.
 
 Estelle is moving toward the west-northwest or 295 degrees at 14
 kt. The cyclone is expected to continue on this general track
 steered by the flow around the subtropical ridge until dissipation.
 
 
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
 INIT  22/0900Z 21.5N 132.0W   35 KT  40 MPH
  12H  22/1800Z 22.3N 134.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  24H  23/0600Z 23.2N 136.3W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  36H  23/1800Z 24.5N 139.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  48H  24/0600Z 25.5N 141.5W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  72H  25/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
 $$
 Forecaster Avila