579 
 WTPZ22 KNHC 191442
 TCMEP2
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072004
 1500Z THU AUG 19 2004
  
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 133.2W AT 19/1500Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  11 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
 12 FT SEAS.. 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 133.2W AT 19/1500Z
 AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 132.7W
  
 FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 12.1N 134.9W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 40NE  25SE  25SW  40NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 12.9N 137.3W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 50NE  35SE  35SW  50NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 13.8N 139.8W
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
 34 KT... 50NE  35SE  35SW  50NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 14.7N 142.3W
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 15.5N 147.0W
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 16.0N 150.5W
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 16.5N 154.5W
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.7N 133.2W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z
  
 FORECASTER MOLLEDA/AVILA
  
  
 $$