974 
 WTNT25 KNHC 070238
 TCMAT5
  
 TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
 0300 UTC TUE AUG 07 2012
  
 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
  
 NONE.
  
 SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
  
 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * CHETUMAL TO PUNTA ALLEN ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
 * THE ENTIRE COAST OF BELIZE
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD
 TO PUNTA SAL...INCLUDING THE BAY ISLANDS
 * NORTH OF PUNTA ALLEN TO TULUM ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN
 PENINSULA
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 * THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM WEST OF PUNTA SAL TO THE
 HONDURAS/GUATEMALA BORDER
 * NORTH OF TULUM TO CANCUN ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN
 PENINSULA
  
 A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
 SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 
 36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-
 FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT
 OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
 RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
 EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
 POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N  82.7W AT 07/0300Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  11 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
 50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 34 KT.......110NE  60SE   0SW  30NW.
 12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE  90SW 150NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N  82.7W AT 07/0300Z
 AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N  82.2W
  
 FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 17.5N  84.3W
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
 34 KT...110NE  70SE  20SW  50NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 18.3N  86.8W
 MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
 34 KT...110NE  70SE  30SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 18.9N  89.0W...INLAND OVER YUCATAN
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT...110NE  80SE  40SW  50NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 19.3N  91.1W...OVER WATER
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 70NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 19.5N  94.8W
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
 34 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 19.4N  97.4W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 19.2N  99.4W...DISSIPATING INLAND
 MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N  82.7W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER STEWART