984 
 WTNT25 KNHC 282035
 TCMAT5
 TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052006
 2100 UTC MON AUG 28 2006
  
 AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS BEING ISSUED
 FOR FLORIDA FROM VERO BEACH SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...FROM
 SOUTH OF CHOKOLOSKEE SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST...FOR LAKE
 OKEECHOBEE...AND FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO THE
 DRY TORTUGAS.  THESE AREAS ALSO REMAIN UNDER A HURRICANE WATCH.
  
 AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS BEING ISSUED FROM
 CHOKOLOSKEE NORTHWARD TO ENGLEWOOD ON THE FLORIDA WEST COAST.
  
 A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF VERO BEACH TO NEW
 SMYRNA BEACH ON THE FLORIDA EAST COAST.
  
 AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A
 TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ANDROS ISLAND...THE BERRY ISLANDS... THE
 BIMINIS AND...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
 THESE ISLANDS ALSO REMAIN UNDER A HURRICANE WATCH.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR RAGGED ISLAND AND
 GREAT EXUMA IN THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.
  
 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
 GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...GRANMA...HOLGUIN...LAS TUNAS... AND
 CAMAGUEY.
  
 INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD
 MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ERNESTO.
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N  76.9W AT 28/2100Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  11 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
 34 KT....... 90NE  60SE   0SW  60NW.
 12 FT SEAS..150NE 175SE   0SW  90NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N  76.9W AT 28/2100Z
 AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.0N  76.5W
  
 FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 22.5N  78.0W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 90NE  60SE  20SW  60NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 24.3N  79.7W
 MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
 34 KT...100NE  75SE  40SW  75NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 26.1N  80.5W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 50 KT... 50NE  40SE  25SW  25NW.
 34 KT...120NE 100SE  50SW  50NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 27.8N  80.8W...INLAND
 MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 50 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  20NW.
 34 KT...120NE 120SE  40SW  40NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 32.5N  80.0W
 MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 50 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  25NW.
 34 KT...120NE 120SE  50SW  50NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 36.0N  78.0W
 MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 40.0N  78.0W...REMNANT LOW
 MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.3N  76.9W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER PASCH