027 
 WTNT45 KNHC 182032
 TCDAT5
  
 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ERIN DISCUSSION NUMBER  16
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052013
 500 PM AST SUN AUG 18 2013
  
 ERIN HAS LACKED DEEP CONVECTION WITHIN 120 N MI OF ITS CENTER FOR
 OVER 12 HOURS...AND NO LONGER QUALIFIES AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE.
 THEREFORE...ADVISORIES ARE BEING DISCONTINUED AT THIS TIME.  THE
 SHIPS/LGEM GUIDANCE INDICATES VERY DRY LOW- TO MID-TROPOSPHERIC AIR
 IN THE PATH OF THE REMNANT LOW WHICH SHOULD DISCOURAGE ATTEMPTS AT
 REGENERATION.
  
 THE LOW HAS BEEN MOVING SLIGHTLY SOUTH OF WEST...OR 260/7...WITHIN
 THE TRADEWIND FLOW.  THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
 UNTIL THE CYCLONE LOSES ITS IDENTITY IN A FEW DAYS.  THE OFFICIAL
 TRACK FORECAST IS A LITTLE SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS ONE AND NEAR THE
 NORTHERN SIDE OF THE DYNAMICAL GUIDANCE SUITE.
  
 ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS
 FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS
 HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.
  
  
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
  
 INIT  18/2100Z 20.4N  39.8W   30 KT  35 MPH
  12H  19/0600Z 20.2N  41.3W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  24H  19/1800Z 20.0N  43.2W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  36H  20/0600Z 19.7N  45.2W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  48H  20/1800Z 19.4N  47.2W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  72H  21/1800Z...DISSIPATED
  
 $$
 FORECASTER PASCH