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 643 
 WTPZ23 KNHC 020839
 TCMEP3
 TROPICAL STORM ERICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP082007
 0900 UTC THU AUG 02 2007
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 130.0W AT 02/0900Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  35 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  12 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
 34 KT.......  0NE   0SE  75SW  30NW.
 12 FT SEAS..  0NE   0SE  75SW  30NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 130.0W AT 02/0900Z
 AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 129.5W
  
 FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 13.4N 131.5W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT...  0NE   0SE  75SW  30NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 13.5N 133.5W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT...  0NE   0SE  75SW  50NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 13.8N 135.2W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 30NE  30SE  75SW  50NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 14.2N 137.1W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 30NE  30SE  75SW  50NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 14.5N 141.0W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 30NE  30SE  75SW  50NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 14.5N 145.0W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 14.5N 149.0W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 130.0W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER MAINELLI
  
  
 
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