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 251 
 WTPZ23 KNHC 011434
 TCMEP3
 TROPICAL STORM ERICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP082007
 1500 UTC WED AUG 01 2007
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 126.0W AT 01/1500Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   8 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
 34 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 12 FT SEAS.. 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 126.0W AT 01/1500Z
 AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 125.6W
  
 FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 13.3N 127.2W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 13.5N 129.0W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 13.7N 130.6W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 13.9N 132.5W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 14.0N 136.0W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 14.0N 139.0W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 14.0N 142.5W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.2N 126.0W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER RHOME
  
  
 
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