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 063 
 WTPZ23 KNHC 010222
 TCMEP3
 TROPICAL STORM ERICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP082007
 0300 UTC WED AUG 01 2007
  
 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 124.4W AT 01/0300Z
 POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
  
 PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   9 KT
  
 ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
 MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
  
 REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 124.4W AT 01/0300Z
 AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 124.0W
  
 FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 13.1N 125.9W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 13.5N 128.2W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 13.5N 130.5W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 13.5N 132.5W
 MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
  
 FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 13.5N 136.5W
 MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
  
 EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
 ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 13.5N 140.0W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
  
 OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 13.5N 144.5W
 MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
  
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.1N 124.4W
  
 NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z
  
 $$
 FORECASTER AVILA
  
  
 
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