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 757 
 WTPZ41 KNHC 172035
 TCDEP1
 
 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ENRIQUE DISCUSSION NUMBER  22
 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062015
 200 PM PDT FRI JUL 17 2015
 
 Recently received ASCAT data shows that Enrique has weakened to a
 tropical depression with winds of 30 kt.  There is currently no deep
 convection associated with the cyclone, although several bands of
 low-topped showers are present.  Unless there is a significant
 increase in convection, the cyclone should degenerate into a remnant
 low pressure area in 24 hours or less. After that, the dynamical
 guidance suggests that the remnant low should persist for several
 more days before dissipating.
 
 The initial motion is 270/2.  The track guidance indicates that
 Enrique and its remnants should make a counter-clockwise loop during
 the next three days or so, followed by a northwestward motion.  The
 new track forecast is again similar to the previous forecast and is
 near the center of the track guidance envelope.
 
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
 INIT  17/2100Z 20.5N 137.1W   30 KT  35 MPH
  12H  18/0600Z 20.3N 137.4W   30 KT  35 MPH
  24H  18/1800Z 19.9N 137.5W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  36H  19/0600Z 19.9N 137.3W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  48H  19/1800Z 20.2N 137.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  72H  20/1800Z 21.5N 137.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  96H  21/1800Z 23.0N 138.5W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 120H  22/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
 $$
 Forecaster Beven
 
 
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