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 484 
 WTPZ41 KNHC 010231
 TCDEP1
 
 Tropical Depression Emilia Discussion Number  14
 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP062018
 800 PM PDT Sat Jun 30 2018
 
 Emilia has been producing an area of deep convection southwest of
 the low-level center, with cloud top temperatures of -60C to -70C
 for the past few hours. As a result, Emilia is maintaining its
 tropical cyclone status for now. The initial intensity remains 30 kt
 based on the earlier ASCAT data. The cyclone should gradually
 weaken in an increasingly hostile thermodynamic environment with the
 shear increasing. Emilia should become a remnant low in 12 to 24
 hours and the remnant low is expected to dissipate in 3 to 4
 days.
 
 The initial motion estimate is 295/10. Emilia and its remnants
 should continue generally west-northwestward for a couple of days
 before turning more westward in the low-level flow prior to
 dissipation.
 
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
 INIT  01/0300Z 18.4N 121.1W   30 KT  35 MPH
  12H  01/1200Z 18.8N 122.8W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  24H  02/0000Z 19.5N 125.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  36H  02/1200Z 20.2N 127.2W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  48H  03/0000Z 20.9N 129.3W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  72H  04/0000Z 21.2N 134.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  96H  05/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
 $$
 Forecaster Brennan
 
 
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