Image Department Meteorology
Meteorology_Home Weather_Server News/Seminars
People
Research
Academics Application Contact_Us

Hawaiian_Weather
US_Mainland_Weather
Tropical_Weather
Satellite_Imagery
Radar_Imagery
Marine
Numerical_Models
LAPS
Forecasts
Observations
Archive
Links Disclaimer
Space
SOEST_Home
University_of_Hawaii_Home

 859 
 WTPZ41 KNHC 300834
 TCDEP1
 
 Tropical Storm Emilia Discussion Number  11
 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP062018
 200 AM PDT Sat Jun 30 2018
 
 Emilia has sheared apart during the past several hours, with the
 low-level center now exposed to the northeast of a diminishing area
 of deep convection.  Recent scatterometer data indicate that the
 sustained winds have decreased to near 35 kt, and that will be the
 initial intensity for this advisory.  Emilia should continue to
 weaken as it moves over decreasing sea surface temperatures, and
 the system is now expected to decay into a remnant low pressure
 ares between 36-48 h.
 
 The initial motion is now 285/8.  The low- to mid-level flow on the
 south side of the subtropical ridge should continue to steer Emilia
 or its remnants west-northwestward for the next three days or so,
 followed by a more westward motion before the remnants dissipate.
 The new forecast track is an update of the previous track and lies
 near the various consensus models.
 
 
 FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
 INIT  30/0900Z 17.0N 118.6W   35 KT  40 MPH
  12H  30/1800Z 17.4N 120.0W   35 KT  40 MPH
  24H  01/0600Z 18.1N 122.0W   30 KT  35 MPH
  36H  01/1800Z 18.9N 123.8W   30 KT  35 MPH
  48H  02/0600Z 20.0N 125.8W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  72H  03/0600Z 21.5N 130.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
  96H  04/0600Z 22.0N 134.5W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 120H  05/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
 $$
 Forecaster Beven
 
 
Return to the Tropical Systems Page for EMILIA

Back to main Tropical Weather page




This page is maintained voluntarily by the MKWC and the UHMET faculty, staff, and students.
It was last modified on: Thu, Jul 23 2020 - 2003 UTC
Send comments to: Ryan Lyman