757
WTPZ25 KNHC 110848
TCMEP5
HURRICANE EMILIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052012
0900 UTC WED JUL 11 2012
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 116.6W AT 11/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 116.6W AT 11/0900Z
AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 116.2W
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 14.9N 118.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 15.4N 119.7W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 15.8N 121.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 16.3N 124.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 17.2N 128.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 17.8N 133.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 18.3N 138.8W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N 116.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
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