805
WTPZ25 KNHC 110232
TCMEP5
HURRICANE EMILIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052012
0300 UTC WED JUL 11 2012
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 115.6W AT 11/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 967 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 115.6W AT 11/0300Z
AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 115.1W
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 14.7N 117.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 15.1N 118.6W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 15.6N 120.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 16.0N 122.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 17.0N 126.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 17.7N 132.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 18.0N 137.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 115.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Return to the Tropical Systems Page for EMILIA
Back to main Tropical Weather page
This page is maintained voluntarily by the MKWC and the UHMET faculty, staff, and students.
It was last modified on: Thu, Jul 23 2020 - 2003 UTC
Send comments to: Ryan Lyman
|