651
WTPZ25 KNHC 100849
TCMEP5
HURRICANE EMILIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052012
0900 UTC TUE JUL 10 2012
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 113.0W AT 10/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 945 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT.......110NE 110SE 70SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 113.0W AT 10/0900Z
AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 112.5W
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 14.0N 114.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 70SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 14.6N 116.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 70SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 15.1N 118.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 70SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 15.5N 120.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 70SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 16.3N 123.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 70SW 100NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 17.1N 128.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 17.7N 134.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.5N 113.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
Return to the Tropical Systems Page for EMILIA
Back to main Tropical Weather page
This page is maintained voluntarily by the MKWC and the UHMET faculty, staff, and students.
It was last modified on: Thu, Jul 23 2020 - 2003 UTC
Send comments to: Ryan Lyman
|